16. Recognize the Signs of a Top.Whether it is
tulip bulbs in 17th century Holland, gold in 1849, or Beanie Babies and
Internet stocks in the 1990s, any time a crowd has unanimously agreed
that a certain investment is a "can't lose" opportunity, you are
probably best off to avoid that investment. The tide is likely to soon
turn. Also, when you see people making investments that they have no
business making (think bellboys giving tips on bonds, auto mechanics
day-trading stocks in their shops, or successful doctors giving up
medicine to "flip" real estate), that's also a sign to search for the
exits.
17. Look for Quality.
If you focus your attention on
companies that have wide economic moats, you will find firms that are
virtually certain to have higher earnings five or 10 years from now. You
want to make sure that you focus your attention on companies that
increase the intrinsic value of their shares over time. These afford you
the luxury of being patient and holding for a long time. Otherwise, you
are just playing a game of chicken with the stock market.